Exela Technologies Stock Price Prediction

XELA Stock  USD 2.26  0.03  1.35%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Exela Technologies' share price is approaching 40. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Exela Technologies' stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Exela Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Exela Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Exela Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Exela Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Exela Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Exela Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Exela Technologies' stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Exela Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Exela stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Exela Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using Exela Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exela Technologies from the perspective of Exela Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Exela Technologies using Exela Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Exela using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Exela Technologies' stock price.

Exela Technologies Implied Volatility

    
  1326.03  
Exela Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exela Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exela Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exela Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exela Technologies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Exela Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exela Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exela because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Exela Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Exela Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Exela Stock refer to our How to Trade Exela Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exela Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Exela Technologies in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.035.76
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Exela Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Exela Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Exela Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Exela Technologies.

Exela Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Exela Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exela Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exela Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Exela Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Exela Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exela Technologies' historical news coverage. Exela Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.03, respectively. We have considered Exela Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.26
2.30
After-hype Price
6.03
Upside
Exela Technologies is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exela Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Exela Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exela Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exela Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exela Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.72 
3.73
  0.04 
  0.12 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.26
2.30
1.77 
7,460  
Notes

Exela Technologies Hype Timeline

Exela Technologies is at this time traded for 2.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Exela is expected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 2.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.77% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Exela Technologies is about 2299.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.38. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (293.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.51 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Exela Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Exela Stock refer to our How to Trade Exela Stock guide.

Exela Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Exela Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exela Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Exela Technologies rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exela Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DTDynatrace Holdings LLC(1.31)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.69 (3.46) 11.67 
BLBlackline(2.13)8 per month 2.27 (0.05) 3.90 (4.17) 9.91 
EBEventbrite Class A(0.18)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.53 (4.51) 36.24 
AIC3 Ai Inc 2.90 7 per month 3.59  0.05  9.52 (5.85) 19.56 
MLMoneyLion 0.64 11 per month 4.09  0.09  8.11 (7.13) 23.15 
PDPagerduty(0.87)8 per month 2.15  0.03  3.74 (4.30) 22.11 
DJCODaily Journal Corp 1.06 8 per month 2.45 (0.02) 4.17 (3.61) 13.25 
UUnity Software 1.47 8 per month 3.77 (0.01) 6.63 (5.58) 18.18 
DVDoubleVerify Holdings(0.12)10 per month 4.69 (0.04) 2.92 (3.44) 26.43 

Exela Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Exela price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exela using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exela charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Exela Technologies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Exela Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exela Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exela Technologies based on analysis of Exela Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exela Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exela Technologies's related companies.
 2010 2019 2023 2024 (projected)
Receivables Turnover6.345.876.757.08
PPandE Turnover11.9312.6711.411.18

Story Coverage note for Exela Technologies

The number of cover stories for Exela Technologies depends on current market conditions and Exela Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exela Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exela Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Exela Technologies Short Properties

Exela Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Exela Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exela Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exela Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exela Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding308 K
Cash And Short Term Investments15.1 M
When determining whether Exela Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Exela Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Exela Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Exela Technologies Stock:
Check out Exela Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Exela Stock refer to our How to Trade Exela Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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Is Exela Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exela Technologies. If investors know Exela will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exela Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(108.88)
Revenue Per Share
233.581
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Exela Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exela that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exela Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exela Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exela Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exela Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exela Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exela Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exela Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.