Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock Price Prediction

DNA Stock  USD 1.37  0.10  6.80%   
At this time, the RSI of Ginkgo Bioworks' share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ginkgo Bioworks' stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ginkgo Bioworks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ginkgo Bioworks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ginkgo Bioworks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ginkgo Bioworks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ginkgo Bioworks' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.44)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.30)
Wall Street Target Price
3.08
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.09)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ginkgo Bioworks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ginkgo stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ginkgo Bioworks over a specific investment horizon. Using Ginkgo Bioworks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings from the perspective of Ginkgo Bioworks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ginkgo Bioworks using Ginkgo Bioworks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ginkgo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ginkgo Bioworks' stock price.

Ginkgo Bioworks Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Ginkgo Bioworks' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ginkgo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ginkgo Bioworks stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Ginkgo Bioworks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ginkgo Bioworks and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ginkgo Bioworks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
1.6617
Short Percent
0.1786
Short Ratio
10.44
Shares Short Prior Month
235.5 M
50 Day MA
1.4322

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ginkgo Bioworks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ginkgo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ginkgo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ginkgo Bioworks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ginkgo Bioworks.

Ginkgo Bioworks Implied Volatility

    
  122.93  
Ginkgo Bioworks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ginkgo Bioworks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ginkgo Bioworks stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ginkgo Bioworks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ginkgo Bioworks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ginkgo Bioworks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ginkgo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ginkgo Bioworks after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ginkgo Bioworks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ginkgo Bioworks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ginkgo Bioworks in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.797.02
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.103.217.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.11-0.09-0.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ginkgo Bioworks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ginkgo Bioworks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ginkgo Bioworks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings.

Ginkgo Bioworks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ginkgo Bioworks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ginkgo Bioworks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ginkgo Bioworks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ginkgo Bioworks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ginkgo Bioworks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ginkgo Bioworks' historical news coverage. Ginkgo Bioworks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 6.59, respectively. We have considered Ginkgo Bioworks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.37
1.36
After-hype Price
6.59
Upside
Ginkgo Bioworks is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ginkgo Bioworks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ginkgo Bioworks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ginkgo Bioworks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ginkgo Bioworks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
5.23
  0.01 
  0.04 
10 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.37
1.36
0.73 
13,075  
Notes

Ginkgo Bioworks Hype Timeline

On the 20th of February Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is traded for 1.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Ginkgo is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 1.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.73% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Ginkgo Bioworks is about 2882.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.33. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Ginkgo Bioworks was currently reported as 0.64. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.41. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Ginkgo Bioworks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ginkgo Bioworks Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ginkgo Bioworks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ginkgo Bioworks' future price movements. Getting to know how Ginkgo Bioworks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ginkgo Bioworks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ginkgo Bioworks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ginkgo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ginkgo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ginkgo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ginkgo Bioworks Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ginkgo Bioworks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ginkgo Bioworks based on analysis of Ginkgo Bioworks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ginkgo Bioworks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ginkgo Bioworks's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Book Value per Share1.111.191.05
Asset Turnover0.230.260.25

Story Coverage note for Ginkgo Bioworks

The number of cover stories for Ginkgo Bioworks depends on current market conditions and Ginkgo Bioworks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ginkgo Bioworks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ginkgo Bioworks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ginkgo Bioworks Short Properties

Ginkgo Bioworks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ginkgo Bioworks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ginkgo Bioworks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ginkgo Bioworks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
When determining whether Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ginkgo Bioworks' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock:
Check out Ginkgo Bioworks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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Is Ginkgo Bioworks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ginkgo Bioworks. If investors know Ginkgo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ginkgo Bioworks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.41)
Revenue Per Share
0.165
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(0.63)
The market value of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ginkgo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ginkgo Bioworks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ginkgo Bioworks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ginkgo Bioworks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ginkgo Bioworks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ginkgo Bioworks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ginkgo Bioworks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ginkgo Bioworks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.