Four Seasons' market value is the price at which a share of Four Seasons stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Four Seasons Education investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Four Seasons Education and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Four Seasons over a given investment horizon. Check out Four Seasons Correlation, Four Seasons Volatility and Four Seasons Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Four Seasons.
Four Seasons Education Valuation
Is Four Seasons' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Four Seasons. If investors know Four will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Four Seasons listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Return On Assets
The market value of Four Seasons Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Four that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Four Seasons' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Four Seasons' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Four Seasons' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Four Seasons' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Four Seasons' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Four Seasons is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Four Seasons' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Four Seasons 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Four Seasons' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Four Seasons.
No Change 0.00
In 31 days
If you would invest 0.00 in Four Seasons on January 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Four Seasons Education or generate 0.0% return on investment in Four Seasons over 30 days. Four Seasons is related to or competes with IhumanInc, Jianzhi Education, 17 Education, Vasta PlatformLtd, VitruLtd, and Skillful Craftsman. Four Seasons Education Inc. provides after-school education services for kindergarten, elementary, and middle school stu... More
Four Seasons Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Four Seasons' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Four Seasons Education upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Four Seasons' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Four Seasons' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Four Seasons historical prices to predict the future Four Seasons' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Four Seasons' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Four Seasons in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Four Seasons. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Four Seasons' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Four Seasons' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Four Seasons Education.
Four Seasons Education Backtested Returns
Four Seasons Education secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which denotes the company had -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards predicting the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Four Seasons Education exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please confirm Four Seasons' Variance of 9.68, standard deviation of 3.11, and Mean Deviation of 1.43 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.06, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Four Seasons returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Four Seasons is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Four Seasons Education historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Four Seasons Education has an expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to confirm Four Seasons Education maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index to decide if Four Seasons Education performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Weak reverse predictability
Four Seasons Education has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Four Seasons time series from 21st of January 2024 to 5th of February 2024 and 5th of February 2024 to 20th of February 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Four Seasons Education price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Four Seasons price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Spearman Rank Test
Four Seasons Education lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Four Seasons stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Four Seasons' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Four Seasons returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Four Seasons stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Four Seasons regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Four Seasons stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Four Seasons stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Four Seasons stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Four Seasons Lagged Returns
When evaluating Four Seasons' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Four Seasons stock have on its future price. Four Seasons autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Four Seasons autocorrelation shows the relationship between Four Seasons stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Four Seasons Education.
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When determining whether Four Seasons Education is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Four Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Four Seasons Education Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Four Seasons Education Stock:
Note that the Four Seasons Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Four Seasons' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Four Stock analysis
When running Four Seasons' price analysis, check to measure Four Seasons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Four Seasons is operating at the current time. Most of Four Seasons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Four Seasons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Four Seasons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Four Seasons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Four Seasons technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Four Seasons technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Four Seasons trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
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