Catalent Stock Market Value

CTLT Stock  USD 57.98  0.16  0.28%   
Catalent's market value is the price at which a share of Catalent stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Catalent investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Catalent and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Catalent over a given investment horizon.
Check out Catalent Correlation, Catalent Volatility and Catalent Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Catalent.
For more information on how to buy Catalent Stock please use our How to Invest in Catalent guide.
Symbol

Catalent Valuation

Is Catalent's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Catalent. If investors know Catalent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Catalent listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Earnings Share
(7.18)
Revenue Per Share
22.623
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Catalent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Catalent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Catalent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Catalent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Catalent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Catalent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Catalent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Catalent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Catalent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Catalent 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Catalent's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Catalent.
0.00
01/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Catalent on January 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Catalent or generate 0.0% return on investment in Catalent over 30 days. Catalent is related to or competes with MiMedx, Moleculin Biotech, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Agilent Technologies, Equillium, Mustang Bio, and Seres Therapeutics. Catalent, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures solutions for drugs, protein-based biologics, ... More

Catalent Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Catalent's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Catalent upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Catalent Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Catalent's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Catalent's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Catalent historical prices to predict the future Catalent's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catalent's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Catalent in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.4157.1059.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.8955.5858.27
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.0048.6058.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.1-0.06-0.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Catalent. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Catalent's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Catalent's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Catalent.

Catalent Backtested Returns

Catalent appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Catalent secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.25, which signifies that the company had 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By analyzing Catalent technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.66% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Catalent's Mean Deviation of 2.12, downside deviation of 2.27, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2086 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Catalent holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.87, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Catalent will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Catalent historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. Please makes use of Catalent value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price to make a quick decision on whether Catalent price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Catalent has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Catalent time series from 21st of January 2024 to 5th of February 2024 and 5th of February 2024 to 20th of February 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Catalent price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Catalent price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.05

Catalent lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Catalent stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Catalent's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Catalent returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Catalent stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Catalent regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Catalent stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Catalent stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Catalent stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Catalent Lagged Returns

When evaluating Catalent's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Catalent stock have on its future price. Catalent autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Catalent autocorrelation shows the relationship between Catalent stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Catalent.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Catalent Investors Sentiment

The influence of Catalent's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Catalent. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Catalent's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Catalent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Catalent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Catalent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Catalent's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Catalent's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Catalent's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Catalent.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Catalent in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Catalent's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Catalent options trading.

Pair Trading with Catalent

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Catalent position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Catalent will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Catalent Stock

  0.91VALN Valneva SE ADR Report 28th of March 2024 PairCorr
  0.89MEIP MEI Pharma Financial Report 9th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.79YS YS Biopharma Report 22nd of April 2024 PairCorr
  0.78KA Kineta Inc Report 29th of March 2024 PairCorr
  0.68VAXX Vaxxinity Report 25th of March 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Catalent could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Catalent when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Catalent - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Catalent to buy it.
The correlation of Catalent is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Catalent moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Catalent moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Catalent can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Catalent is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Catalent Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Catalent Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Catalent Stock:
Check out Catalent Correlation, Catalent Volatility and Catalent Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Catalent.
For more information on how to buy Catalent Stock please use our How to Invest in Catalent guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Catalent Stock analysis

When running Catalent's price analysis, check to measure Catalent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catalent is operating at the current time. Most of Catalent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catalent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catalent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catalent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Catalent technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Catalent technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Catalent trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...