Four Seasons Education Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.7

FEDU Stock  USD 7.98  0.40  5.28%   
Four Seasons' future price is the expected price of Four Seasons instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Four Seasons Education performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Four Seasons Backtesting, Four Seasons Valuation, Four Seasons Correlation, Four Seasons Hype Analysis, Four Seasons Volatility, Four Seasons History as well as Four Seasons Performance.
  
Price to Book Value is likely to gain to 0.26 in 2024, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (5.98) in 2024. Please specify Four Seasons' target price for which you would like Four Seasons odds to be computed.

Four Seasons Target Price Odds to finish below 9.7

The tendency of Four Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 9.70  after 90 days
 7.98 90 days 9.70 
about 68.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Four Seasons to stay under $ 9.70  after 90 days from now is about 68.13 (This Four Seasons Education probability density function shows the probability of Four Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Four Seasons Education price to stay between its current price of $ 7.98  and $ 9.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This usually indicates Four Seasons Education market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Four Seasons is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Four Seasons Education is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Four Seasons Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Four Seasons

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Four Seasons Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Four Seasons' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Four Seasons in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.197.9810.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.317.109.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Four Seasons. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Four Seasons' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Four Seasons' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Four Seasons Education.

Four Seasons Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Four Seasons is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Four Seasons' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Four Seasons Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Four Seasons within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Four Seasons Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Four Seasons for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Four Seasons Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Four Seasons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.29 M.
Four Seasons Education currently holds about 508.43 M in cash with (25.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 239.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pivots Trading Plans and Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily

Four Seasons Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Four Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Four Seasons' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Four Seasons' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments491.9 M

Four Seasons Technical Analysis

Four Seasons' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Four Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Four Seasons Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Four Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Four Seasons Predictive Forecast Models

Four Seasons' time-series forecasting models is one of many Four Seasons' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Four Seasons' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Four Seasons Education

Checking the ongoing alerts about Four Seasons for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Four Seasons Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Four Seasons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.29 M.
Four Seasons Education currently holds about 508.43 M in cash with (25.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 239.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pivots Trading Plans and Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily
When determining whether Four Seasons Education is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Four Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Four Seasons Education Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Four Seasons Education Stock:
Check out Four Seasons Backtesting, Four Seasons Valuation, Four Seasons Correlation, Four Seasons Hype Analysis, Four Seasons Volatility, Four Seasons History as well as Four Seasons Performance.
Note that the Four Seasons Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Four Seasons' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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When running Four Seasons' price analysis, check to measure Four Seasons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Four Seasons is operating at the current time. Most of Four Seasons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Four Seasons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Four Seasons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Four Seasons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Four Seasons' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Four Seasons. If investors know Four will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Four Seasons listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Earnings Share
(0.18)
Revenue Per Share
38.77
Quarterly Revenue Growth
3.475
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Four Seasons Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Four that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Four Seasons' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Four Seasons' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Four Seasons' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Four Seasons' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Four Seasons' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Four Seasons is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Four Seasons' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.