Ford Motor Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.45

F Stock  USD 12.45  0.01  0.08%   
Ford's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ford Motor. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ford based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ford Motor over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-08 CALL at $12.32 is a CALL option contract on Ford's common stock with a strick price of 12.32 expiring on 2024-03-08. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-01 at 15:58:49 for $0.26 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.25, and an ask price of $0.27. The implied volatility as of the 4th of March is 30.51. View All Ford options

Closest to current price Ford long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Ford's future price is the expected price of Ford instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ford Motor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ford Backtesting, Ford Valuation, Ford Correlation, Ford Hype Analysis, Ford Volatility, Ford History as well as Ford Performance.
  
The Ford's current Price to Book Value is estimated to increase to 1.24. The Ford's current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 11.48. Please specify Ford's target price for which you would like Ford odds to be computed.

Ford Target Price Odds to finish over 12.45

The tendency of Ford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.45 90 days 12.45 
about 13.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.5 (This Ford Motor probability density function shows the probability of Ford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Ford has a beta of 0.95. This usually indicates Ford Motor market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ford is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1464, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ford Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ford

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ford Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ford's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ford in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3912.4514.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0612.1214.18
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.2813.4914.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.500.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ford. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ford's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ford's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ford Motor.

Ford Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ford is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ford's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ford Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ford within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ford Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ford for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ford Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ford Motor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Ford paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 4,331.0 Billion Electric Vehicle Markets - Global Forecast to 2030 with 372.38 Million Units Projected to be Sold

Ford Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments40.2 B

Ford Technical Analysis

Ford's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ford Motor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ford Predictive Forecast Models

Ford's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ford's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ford's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ford Motor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ford for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ford Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ford Motor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Ford paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 4,331.0 Billion Electric Vehicle Markets - Global Forecast to 2030 with 372.38 Million Units Projected to be Sold
When determining whether Ford Motor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ford's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ford's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ford Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ford Backtesting, Ford Valuation, Ford Correlation, Ford Hype Analysis, Ford Volatility, Ford History as well as Ford Performance.
Note that the Ford Motor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ford's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Ford Stock analysis

When running Ford's price analysis, check to measure Ford's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ford is operating at the current time. Most of Ford's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ford's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ford's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ford to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ford's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.938
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.08
Revenue Per Share
44.07
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.045
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.